Recounts and Runoffs

So we still have 9 House races that are too close to call.

Please give your predictions. Who will win the recounts in:

  • Conn. 2, Rob Simmons vs. Joe Courtney
  • Ga. 12, John Barrow vs. Max Burns
  • Pa. 8, Mike Fitzpatrick vs. Patrick Murphy
  • N.M. 1, Heather Wilson vs. Patricia Madrid
  • N.C. 8, Robin Hayes vs. Larry Kissell
  • Wyo. At Large, Barbara Cubin vs. Gary Trauner
  • Wash. 8, Dave Reichert vs. Darcy Burner
  • Ohio 15, Deborah Pryce vs. Mary Jo Kilroy
  • Ohio 2, Jean Schmidt vs. Vic Wulsin

There are also 2 races requiring December runoffs:

  • La. 2, Bill Jefferson vs. Karen Carter (both Democrats)
  • Texas 23, Henry Bonilla vs. Ciro Rodriguez (GOP incumbent vs. Dem challenger)

Start your predictions. Who wins these tight ones?

UPDATE: PA-8 called for Murphy. Since LA-2 is guaranteed to go to a Democrat, we just don't know which one, I include that in the numbers, and thus the House has 230 Democrats and 196 Republicans. 8 seats not called yet, and 1 (TX-23) to be determined by a runoff.



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Re: Recounts and Runoffs (none / 0)

With the exception of the Democratic runoff in Louisiana, the leaders all win.  Jefferson is toast in Louisiana.  I would love to see a Democrat win a re-count when they were originally viewed as a loser, but I doubt it will happen.


by flatblade on Wed Nov 08, 2006 at 04:03:50 PM EST

Re: Recounts and Runoffs (none / 0)

so then, you say the Dems win CT-2, GA-12, and PA-8, and lose the rest.

Fine with me - that makes it 232 Democrats, 203 Republicans in the House. That is, EXACTLY THE SAME MAJORITY THE REPUBLICANS HAD AFTER 2004, which was a pretty workable majority for them.

And then you see Karen Carter beating Jefferson (that's my guess too). What about Bonilla/Rodriguez?


by raginillinoian on Wed Nov 08, 2006 at 04:11:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Recounts and Runoffs (none / 0)

CT02 holds up, Courtney flips the seat
GA12 Burns makes sure it's not a literal sweep
PA08 Murphy makes it happen.  This is wishful thinking but it's backed up by all indications
NM01 Madrid makes it happen
NC08 Kissell rightfully demands a recount but can't pull it out (bonus- he wins in '08)
WYAL Cubin hangs on and bakes more penis cookies
WA08 I'm politically in love with Darcy Burner but I'm not optimistic about this one, haven't been for a while.
OH15 Pryce hangs on
OH02 Mean Jean gives us two more punching bag years.
LA02 Jefferson takes it then goes to jail making it moot
TX23 Ciro for no good reason except that Bonilla couldn't break 50% when there wasn't another Republican in the mix
Start your predictions. Who wins these tight ones?
by Lucas O'Connor on Wed Nov 08, 2006 at 04:11:02 PM EST


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